All throughout the campaign the media told us that members of this coalition - African Americans, young people, Latinos - were dispirited by President Obama's performance in office and wouldn't show up at the polls. But of course they were wrong. African Americans turned out in numbers similar to 2008 whereas young people and Latinos actually increased their participation.
The Obama campaign never believed the media hype about this. That's because they believe in data and numbers rather than spin. And if we look at what the most accurate pollster in the 2012 election - Public Policy Polling - told us way back in January 2012, we wouldn't have bought it either.
The group of voters most excited about voting this year, tied with the Tea Party, is African Americans. The thought that black voters are going to stay home and let the country's first black President lose for reelection because everything hasn't gone perfect is wishful thinking on the part of Republicans. I will be surprised if there is any dropoff in turnout from African Americans this year.I know that the overwhelming support of Latinos for the President has been one of the big stories that emerged from this election. But we also need to give a shout-out to the most faithful constituency the Democrats have known since the 1960's...African Americans. And the really good news about the future is that young people are demonstrating that they are a force to be reckoned with in politics.
The group tied for the third most excited out of the 18 we looked at here? Young voters. And when you take a deeper look at the folks under 30 who say they're 'very excited' about voting this fall, they support Obama by a 69-31 margin over a generic Republican opponent. Those folks are going to be out again this fall as well.